Albuquerque Home Values – The 25 Year Journey

Albuquerque Home Values – The 25 Year Journey

Albuquerque Home Values – The 25 Year Journey

The Albuquerque housing market has undergone some ups and downs over the past 25 years, yet despite these changes, the long-term trend has consistently shown stable upward growth in values. We dug into the annual year-end readings from the Zillow Home Value Index data, and this is what we found.

In 1998, the average Albuquerque home value stood at a modest $127,617. Over the past 25 years it has increased 151% to $321,306. The growth mirrors not just Albuquerque’s real estate market but also the complex interplay of economic forces and changes over the past 25 years.

The initial years of the period, late 1990’s, were characterized by moderate and consistent growth and stability.

Starting in 2000, Albuquerque home values experienced sharper increases in value, with significant value increases in 2005 and 2006, mirroring the nationwide housing bubble that eventually led to the 2008 Global Financial Crisis (GFC).

While the years from 2008 to 2012 presented significant challenges, it is worth noting that the Albuquerque area managed to weather the storm better than others, avoiding the severe declines witnessed in some cities throughout the country.

Home values started to recover in 2012 and continued to have average value increases until 2018. Starting in 2019 and accelerating in 2020, there were significant annual increases in home values peaking with the largest one year increase in 2021 at 15.5%. In 2023, there was a moderate gain of 5.85% in line with the overall economic conditions in the US and New Mexico.

The recent surge in housing prices is the result of several factors, such as historically low-interest rates from 2020 to 2022, a restricted housing supply causing a mismatch between supply and demand, and shifts in housing demand due to the pandemic.

The annual percentage change in Albuquerque home values serves as a powerful indicator of the economic vitality of the region. There have been periods of significant growth, declines post-GFC, along with smaller increases in some years, all influenced by local, national, and global economic trends and policies.

In Albuquerque, home values have seen an average annual increase of 3.76% over the past 25 years. And in the last decade, after the GFC, there has been a 6.5% annual growth in home values.

** The average December value of all single-family homes in the Greater Albuquerque area. Sourced from the Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and represents the “typical” home by including properties in the 35th to 65th percentile range for value.

 

Albuquerque Home Values Over 25 Years

Albuquerque Home Values Over 25 Years

Albuquerque Home Value Trajectory Over 25 Years | ABQ Real Estate Talk

Navigating Albuquerque’s Evolving Real Estate Landscape: Insights and Opportunities

 

Albuquerque’s population is teetering on the brink of a significant milestone.

As we discussed in the latest episode of Albuquerque Real Estate Talk, projections from macrotrends.net suggest that by 2028, the Metro Albuquerque area is expected to exceed 1 million residents. This anticipated growth presents both challenges and opportunities in our real estate landscape, which Tracy and I explored in detail during our conversation on February 17, 2024.

Addressing Albuquerque’s Housing Needs

With the projected population gain of 1% per year, the necessity for additional housing units becomes glaringly apparent. We saw that growth in Albuquerque slowed during the pandemic with fewer people relocating from out of state. Yet, as we heard from a recent volunteer from California, the movement towards more affordable regions like New Mexico has resumed. To accommodate this inflow, Albuquerque must rise to the challenge of providing ample housing without losing the charm and affordability that make our city a desirable relocation destination.

Attracting New Businesses to Albuquerque

The prospect of reaching 999,000 inhabitants by 2027 and over a million shortly thereafter can serve as a beacon to entice more businesses to set up shop in our area. During our discussion, Tracy and I mused about the possible arrival of new businesses, like In N Out Burger and Nordstrom. These additions to our commercial landscape could enhance the diversity of offerings to residents while upholding the unique local culture that defines Albuquerque.

The Albuquerque Home Value Trend Over the Years

Albuquerque home values – 25 year trend. In our episode, I delved into the Zillow home value index, shedding light on Albuquerque home values over the past 25 years. The trajectory has shown significant increases, especially in specific years, driven by various factors, including inventory levels and homeowner equity. We also highlighted the fact that we offer an equity analysis service, so homeowners can determine their property’s worth in today’s market.

Zoning’s Role in Real Estate

We explained that zoning is the regulatory framework used to organize land use, ensuring the development of safe, efficient, and environmentally friendly communities. In Albuquerque, the allotment of spaces for residential, commercial, and special use plays a crucial role in mapping out the city’s growth and ensuring it aligns with the community’s needs.

Aiding Affordability: The Role of Assumable Mortgages

Affordability remains a paramount concern in real estate. I pointed listeners toward an innovative assumable loan search tool, which facilitates the process for buyers to assume the current terms of an existing mortgage – often with FHA and VA loans. This can provide a pathway to homeownership while mitigating some lending hurdles, although it’s essential to acknowledge that buyers would still need to cover any existing equity.

Exploring Current Listings and Advice

Tracy and I discussed various properties on the market, from a fixer-upper on Silver Street to a spacious manufactured home in Stanley. We navigated through the details of these listings, sharing insights and tips aimed at helping our listeners make informed decisions in their real estate ventures.

The Power of Preparation

Drawing parallels between the Chiefs’ Super Bowl victory and real estate success, we emphasized the crucial role of preparation. It’s about creating repeatable systems that guarantee exceptional service for our clients, ensuring each transaction is as smooth and successful as the Chiefs’ game-winning strategies.

Conclusion

As Albuquerque edges closer to a significant population milestone, the responsibility falls on us – realtors, city planners, and community members – to steer the city’s real estate market towards a future that honors both growth and tradition. At Venturi Realty Group, we’re committed to guiding you through this dynamic landscape. For questions or assistance with your real estate needs in Central New Mexico, you can always reach out to us.

 

Transcript Episode 480:Β 

Tego Venturi:
Welcome to Albuquerque Realty Estate Talk with Tego and Tracy Venturi, episode 480, mid February. Tracy, in this week, we have 25 years of Albuquerque home values. We’re gonna break that down. I put a new chart together. Imagine that. Albuquerque population trend. When are we gonna hit a million people in the metro Albuquerque area? I’ve got some data on that. I always have data.

Tego Venturi:
Definitely. Got something good. You’ve got something on rebates?

Tracy Venturi:
Energy Star rebates. Right? If you look online, there are a lot of things that have rebates or tax incentives on them. So we’ll get into that.

Tego Venturi:
Awesome. And then, question of the week was zoning. What the heck is zoning, and why do we need it, and how does it work, and how to understand it? So we’ll break down zoning. And then I’ve got one more thing. Last week okay. So so last week, we spent a lot of time talking about affordability and the affordability challenges in real estate in general, just across the board, renting, buying, Albuquerque nationwide, everywhere. Right? It’s it’s it’s a challenge. But this week, something else popped up on my radar, which was a product to help with affordability.

Tego Venturi:
So I wanted to get into that. But first off, Tracy, introduce us and phone number, and how do we get ahold of us?

Tracy Venturi:
Sure. We’re welcomehomeabq.com, and our phone number is 448-8888, and we’re with Real Broker here in New Mexico.

Tego Venturi:
Thanks. Well, thanks for everybody that that joins us every week. Appreciate your comments on Facebook and YouTube. That’s great. And if you are following or watching us on YouTube, do hit the subscribe button. It just helps us out. We’re really close to hitting a big landmark for the number of subscribers on YouTube. So, hit that subscribe.

Tego Venturi:
We’d appreciate it.

Tracy Venturi:
Great.

Tego Venturi:
Alright. Alright. What do you wanna do for us to do?

Tracy Venturi:
25 Years of home values.

Tego Venturi:
25 Years of home values.

Tracy Venturi:
Interesting. We had it come up this week with a client who wanted to see a chart of 25 years, and it was kind of

Tego Venturi:
the Albuquerque home value, not home prices, but, actually, what what and I used a thing called the Zillow home value index. And what they do is they look at the values of all properties, be they sold or not, and what is the average value over time. And I went back to, 20 no. 2. 2000. No. 1998 for 20 to get to our to get to our 25 years. That was as far back as I could go with with good data.

Tego Venturi:
It’s interesting just so that in in what they do is they look at kinda what the typical home you know, they’re not doing the extremes in the low end. They’re not doing extremes on the high end. They’re kind of just, you know, in that middle range typical home. And in 1998 at the end of 1998, it was a 120 7,617, 25 years ago. End of 23, just here in December, 321,000. You can see the chart on my Facebook, also on our team’s Facebook page at Venturi Team, Venturi Realty on on Facebook or just search mine. It’s TEGO, t e g o, Venturi, and you’ll see it. It’s interesting because it’s striking, Tracy, because you can see that bump from 2,000, 5, six, and seven where home prices, you know, cry climbed dramatically.

Tego Venturi:
And the thing that’s striking about that is you we have that same kind of climb in 21, 2020, 21, 22, 23, and everybody goes, uh-oh. Look. Here we go again. Right? The the thing is you gotta overlay on top of that is the inventory and the number of homes actually on the market. It’s very different case than back then.

Tracy Venturi:
And the amount of equity people have in their homes.

Tego Venturi:
Exactly.

Tracy Venturi:
People aren’t leveraged like they were then.

Tego Venturi:
Yeah. Yeah.

Tracy Venturi:
So good information, Tego. We all like to know what our homes are worth. If you wanna know what your home might be worth in today’s market, even if you’re not wanting to sell, we’d be happy to put that together for you. Just let us know. Give us a call at that 448-8888, and we’ll put together what we call an equity analysis. So an equity analysis analysis is how much you might owe on the house versus what it’s worth, and they a difference is the equity. So we’d be happy to put that together.

Tego Venturi:
I know, you know, most people wanna know what their, you know, net worth is, meaning, you know, how much dollars if they sold everything, how many dollars would they have? And, obviously, equity for most people, equity in their home is one of their biggest assets. So Right. Always good to know. You always like to know. And, of course, it’s been a a a great few years for homeowners. So Right. You know, lot lot of equity out there. Tracy, the other thing was, well, let’s talk about zoning.

Tego Venturi:
This came up, you know, peep it’s it’s in our business, Tracy, we end up just taking certain things for granted that people know what zoning means. And a question came up, and and it was great because somebody was you know, they weren’t afraid to ask. They didn’t, like, act like, oh, I guess I’m supposed to know what this is. They were like, well, what’s zoning? Yeah. What what what is zoning all about, and what does that mean?

Tracy Venturi:
Yeah. Zoning basically are rules and land use regulations that are guidelines set by the government, right, of how to how this this specific land or home can be used. So, like, zoning could be commercial zoning. So it means it’s a commercial property. It could be residential. It could be special use. It could be, you know, whatever. But that’s what it is.

Tracy Venturi:
It’s just a a a rule book for cities and towns that divides areas into different zones. And typically, it’s different zones to keep like pie like kind property together. Right, Tego? So they don’t put, commercial building right in the middle of a residential neighborhood. They kind of group commercial together and residential together, and then there’s sort of some sort of mixed use usually that helps buffer the 2.

Tego Venturi:
Exactly. Yeah. So you’ll put a buffer between so maybe there’s a school, and instead of putting a single family home neighbor right next neighborhood next to it, maybe you put an apartment complex or something in between. Right? So you kinda set up these buffers. I don’t know if that’s a great example, but that would that would be, you know, what what the goal is to make

Tracy Venturi:
Yeah. To make it Yeah. Good for the residential, good for commercial. People think about it. You know, I was in retail before real estate for a while, and and it was like, you see the same types of stores all clumped together, all selling similar products. That’s intentional because people think of that as that’s where I go for furniture, let’s say, or that’s where we go for mattresses. They’re all kind of in the same area, so it’s it’s zoned that way. But, you know, the main idea behind zoning rules and land use reg regulations is to organize a city or town in a way that makes it a nice place to live and work while also keep keeping people safe and protecting the environment.

Tego Venturi:
Yeah. So In in you know, we always talk in terms like, it’s r one or it’s r two or it’s a one or a two or it’s c one or whatever, all these different terms. Right? And in so r one is residential one property per lot. Of course, the City of Albuquerque just changed that and now allows ADUs, meaning an accessory dwelling unit, on an r one lot, which was a big deal.

Tracy Venturi:
Yeah. With with other qualifications as well.

Tego Venturi:
Of of course. And that’s just it. You know, there’s all these there’s there’s rules, and, and so every municipality is going to have rules about land use and what you can do on your property and can’t do on your property. But then on top of that, you might have some other overlays like CC and Rs.

Tracy Venturi:
Right.

Tego Venturi:
KIVA and regulations? Restrictions.

Tracy Venturi:
Restrictions. I don’t know why I got the wrong word in my head. Like, rare yeah. Restrictions. Covenants, conditions. So how you can use that land Exactly. On top of what what if it’s intended for 1 house or one commercial property.

Tego Venturi:
And then you might have an HOA too, a homeowners association or a condo owners association that has other restrictions on what you can and cannot do. So,

Tracy Venturi:
So that’s zoning.

Tego Venturi:
Yeah. Know, you know, know what you’re what you’re looking at. And, you know, the thing that’s really good, I think I go back 20 years, Tracy, in this business, we didn’t have a way to go research that stuff really easily, but now there’s so many good maps out there, like city of Albuquerque. Basically, every county, most cities have what they call a GIS map. It’s an interactive map. I don’t even know what GIS stands for. Graphical. Global.

Tego Venturi:
Yeah. I don’t remember. Anyway, but Geographic. Maps with different layers. And so you can say, okay, show me and you can click on it and say, give me everything that’s a one. So show me everything that’s a one. And and a one is agricultural, residential, generally, but show me everything that’s r one, or show me things that are mobile homes, show me so so you can look at this. But it the other cool thing is if you’re looking at a property, you’re curious what, you know, the lot is behind it that’s sitting vacant, and you wanna know what it’s zoned for, well, you can go look it up, and you should.

Tracy Venturi:
Right.

Tego Venturi:
Right. It’s part of your due diligence of your purchasing. Yeah.

Tracy Venturi:
And that’s pretty common. I know there’s a strip in, right here near us where there was a big open lot behind it, Mhmm. And it was zoned for apartments. And those apartments are now almost complete, but that was probably 15 years ago that we looked it up and we saw that that’s what it was zoned for. But it was vacant for a long time. But at least when we were reselling a house there, we could tell them that is zoned for apartments.

Tego Venturi:
Yeah. Yeah.

Tracy Venturi:
So there you go. Tego, let’s let’s talk about the Energy Star rebate finder.

Tego Venturi:
I wanna call it free money.

Tracy Venturi:
Maybe. Gotta work

Tego Venturi:
for it.

Tracy Venturi:
Energy Star rebate finder.

Tego Venturi:
Okay. You gotta spend money to get money. I know.

Tracy Venturi:
I know.

Tego Venturi:
I know.

Tracy Venturi:
So you wanna get on energy star .gov /rebatedashfinder. And look, because there’s tax rebates as well as rebate rebates. Right? Like, just cash back.

Tego Venturi:
So, like, there’s tax?

Tracy Venturi:
Tax credit.

Tego Venturi:
Tax okay. Got

Tracy Venturi:
it. Credit. Sorry. Tax credits or mail in rebates or other rebates. And some are from, like, New Mexico Gas Company. Some are federal government. Some are New Mexico energy, minerals, and natural resources department. That’s for windows, doors, and skylights, where you can get 500 to $1,000 if you put in energy, star rated windows or doors that you are using to replace.

Tracy Venturi:
So there’s a lot of different things in here. I was going through it. I you have to put in a ZIP code just to kinda find what, what you might find. But clothes dryers, clothes washers, dishwashers, things that are Energy Star, even like mini splits, central air conditioning systems, heat source things, tankless water heaters, smart thermostats. That’s the one that’s most common, I know. When we go to, like, the home stores, a lot of times, the smart thermostats will say right there, qualifies for a rebate. And those light bulbs too. Right? So you might wanna get on that site, energy star .gov/ Realty dash finder, and see if there are some rebates for any projects maybe you’ve done Realty.

Tracy Venturi:
If they allow you to do it in arrears or in the future if you’re doing some work. Right? I might just help you move forward.

Tego Venturi:
Well, when you were just talking about that, Tracy, I just put a mini split in one of our rental properties. So mini split is a heating cool unit, you know, that that goes in a specific Group. And you said it was on the list, so it’s like, now I gotta go check it out and see if if it qualifies. Now it’s a rental property. I don’t know. Maybe that it’s only for your your personal residence.

Tracy Venturi:
It’s still saving energy. Isn’t that the point? That is the point. I would think so. Yeah. Anyway, Energy Star.

Tego Venturi:
Good stuff. It’s a great resource. So, yeah, energy star dot gov or just Google Energy Star rebates, and and you can do a search. You put in the ZIP code and blah blah blah. Yeah.

Tracy Venturi:
Pretty cool. Just Google Energy Star rebates. You’ll probably find it faster than what I said.

Tego Venturi:
Yeah. Yeah.

Tracy Venturi:
How how to get there?

Tego Venturi:
Or you use perplexity, which I’ve been using all the time now instead of Google. So

Tracy Venturi:
no.

Tego Venturi:
Sorry. That’s for all the nerds out there, the AI nerds. So, perplexity, it’s awesome. Okay. Population. I had reason to woah. Don’t bump the microphone. I had reason, Tracy, to search Albuquerque population, so the Albuquerque MSA, the metro area, which is the the 4 counties, Bernalillo, Sanoval, Valencia, Torrance.

Tego Venturi:
And I wanted to know, okay, where are we at now? How much has it grown? And I found a really good resource for it. It’s on, macro trends .net, and this is from the, looks like it’s a combination of the UN as well as Census, But, basically, they’re saying in 2023, in the Metro Albuquerque area, we’re at 900 and 40,000 people in the the 4 counties. And the question is, okay, when do we get to a1000000?

Tracy Venturi:
And does it tell you that prediction?

Tego Venturi:
Based on this, it says we will hit 999,000 in 2027 and go over a 1000000 people in 2028. And that’s based on just a 1% population gain over the next few years.

Tracy Venturi:
So that means we need a lot more housing units.

Tego Venturi:
Yes. And that actually brings me to another conversation I had this week I wanted to talk to you about, and that was the, apartment units. But, yeah, it’s interesting because up until 2018, they were saying that Albuquerque was growing at about 2% per year, but it actually the growth rate actually dropped starting in 2019 all the way through till now. It’s interesting. So, actually, the growth we still grew, but we didn’t grow as fast during the pandemic as everybody thought. Remember that

Tracy Venturi:
Really interesting.

Tego Venturi:
You know how many times people kept saying, oh, the Californians are all moving here and buying all our houses? And I kept saying, no. They’re not. Yeah. No. They’re not. I said, yes. There’s a few, but they’re not there’s not this flood of people coming in here. Right.

Tego Venturi:
And I kept having news people say try to put words in my mouth and say, yes. It’s all those Californias that are driving up our prices. Right? I said, no. It’s not. It’s us. It’s people that live here. And and and I don’t, I’ve got some other data that shows that’s the case that most of the movement, I think the stat was, like, 2% last year came from out of state.

Tracy Venturi:
Very low.

Tego Venturi:
Very low.

Tracy Venturi:
Very low. Yeah. You know, during the pandemic, as I have really

Tego Venturi:
Now, And let let me qualify that because this is important. Right? Because I’m always a stickler on data is it’s 2% of all the homes or all the moves, basically. Right? So so, you know no. I take that back. It’s 2% of the entire population. So it’s actually not you know, it’s a fair number, but it’s not like a crazy big number.

Tracy Venturi:
So, Tego, we were, volunteering this week.

Tego Venturi:
I have no idea what you just talked about.

Tracy Venturi:
Yeah. Moving on. Yeah. We were volunteering this week. We were at Storehouse West in Rio Rancho, helping them for a few hours, putting together bags of food that they distribute. And, one of the gentlemen who volunteers there, he’s been helping them for 2 years. He retired. He’s probably younger than us based on how he looked.

Tracy Venturi:
Very, very healthy, young looking, retired man. And, he retired he moved from California and bought a house in Rio Ranch, Tree and Clear, and and started working at Rust Hospital and then retired. And he’s just been volunteering, but he was somebody that actually moved from California and picked it, kind of just from coming out here and liking it and deciding the cost of living and that, a lot of affordability things were were worth it. And so it was interesting conversation.

Tego Venturi:
Yeah. Well, I think I think there’s you know, we we’ve been saying this for years, Tracy, that that Albuquerque, New Mexico, our Realty, is kind of undiscovered by a lot of places yet, and we’ll see. I think, you know, if we do hit that million that million person if we do hit that 1,000,000 person mark, that will change things. That’s what people say. It’s like once you hit a1000000 people in your metro, it kind of puts you on the radar for a lot of other business search type

Tracy Venturi:
people? Yeah. So I’ve heard that many times. Right? Once you go over a 1000000, lots of different companies are now you’re they’re you’re on their radar to move into. But you know what, Tego? We used to, like it was great when we got to go on vacation somewhere, and our favorite store was there that we didn’t have here, or a favorite restaurant was there that we didn’t have here. Seems like now we kinda have everything we need. Do we really need a big Nord strom’s? No. We’ve got the rack.

Tego Venturi:
Do we need an In N Out Burger? I think that’s really the question.

Tracy Venturi:
Do we do we need beans and brews? Yes. Because that’s Ann Vallejos, and she’s bringing another coffee shop. But, you know, it’s kind of nice to be able to travel and experience different things and not have everything right at your fingertips. But that’s just my take on when we hit the million. So it seems like maybe we’ve been close enough that a lot of places have come in.

Tego Venturi:
I tried to set you up so you could get hate for peep, in, and I tried to set you up to say that we don’t need In N Out Burger because, yeah, that would have not gone well.

Tracy Venturi:
I’ve I’ve seen the threads on the In N Out when they announced it, and it’s still, like, 3 years away or something before we’ll have our first one.

Tego Venturi:
I thought that was on April 1st that somebody announced In N Out Burger was coming.

Tracy Venturi:
No. It’s been a while.

Tego Venturi:
Is it for real?

Tracy Venturi:
It’s yes. But

Tego Venturi:
it’s that was a fake fake news.

Tracy Venturi:
No. It’s, like, 3 years from now. Like, twenty 27 or something they’re playing their 1st one.

Tego Venturi:
See, there we go. Yeah.

Tracy Venturi:
It tells

Tego Venturi:
you what I know.

Tracy Venturi:
No. But yeah. But, you know, it’s fun to be able to go somewhere and go to In N Out Burger because we don’t have it. You know? You can find it in Phoenix or Vegas or Tucson or I don’t know where else. But, you know

Tego Venturi:
West Coast. Yeah.

Tracy Venturi:
Yeah.

Tego Venturi:
Affordability. Can we go back to that?

Tracy Venturi:
Sure.

Tego Venturi:
We did a lot of conversation about affordability last week here on the show in in real estate, in general, in Albuquerque in particular, and it’s it’s a challenge. The and and there’s a lot of different resources. There’s people trying to figure out different ways and mortgage programs and this and that. Right? Well, one thing that I I came across and it’s interesting, and it’s an assumable loan search tool. So it allows you to find homes that have a mortgage that are assumable, meaning you, as the new buyer, can assume the current terms of that existing mortgage. Now

Tracy Venturi:
Sounds complicated.

Tego Venturi:
It does. It is complicated, but it may be worth it to jump through those hoops, because you might be able to find somebody that has a 3% mortgage that you can assume whatever their principal balance is, you still have to qualify though.

Tracy Venturi:
And, Tego, what’s the chance that of those homes that are available are ones that somebody wants to sell and No. They they are the

Tego Venturi:
ones that are on the market.

Tracy Venturi:
They’re on the market, and they’re in the neighborhood and price point that you’re looking for.

Tego Venturi:
For sure. You know? I mean, all stars definitely need to align. Right. However, it is an an opportunity to find some value and take over, not take over, but, basically, well, it’s assumed, the mortgage of of somebody. Now these are gonna be FHA and VA mortgages, so you have to be owner occupied. And, of course, VA, you have to be VA qualified, veteran administration qualified.

Tracy Venturi:
And the VA borrower who currently holds that loan and holds has the house has to know that if their loan is assumable, let’s see, they’re gonna be off that loan then.

Tego Venturi:
Yeah.

Tracy Venturi:
Yeah. It’s it’s not that they’ve taken over their eligibility. So that’s good.

Tego Venturi:
Yeah. So, the this is the catch. So it all sounds great. It’s like, okay. I can take over, you know, a $200,000 balance that’s got a 4% mortgage instead of, you know, the current rate at 8, 7% or whatever it is. The catch is, there may still be there may be $200,000 in equity on top of that. Where is that 200 coming from? That’s the question. So either you have to take out a 2nd mortgage for that amount or

Tracy Venturi:
have the cash. Yeah. Yeah. So it’s it’s great that the tool is out there, but probably not gonna happen.

Tego Venturi:
No. You’re you’re pessimistic. I think people that are looking for opportunity to save some money and get some affordability, it is an opportunity, but it’s definitely not your standard Tego get a mortgage, buy a house kinda thing. Totally. And I never said this. I’m sorry. It’s Assumable dot I o is the website. Assumable dot I o, and it looks like what they are is a I don’t really even know much about this company.

Tego Venturi:
I just came across it last week, and they it appears what they’re doing is they’re searching, public record databases of mortgages, and so they know what the you know, what people have, and they estimate what their mortgage balance is. They estimate what their payment is. And then they also cross reference that against homes that are on the market or have been on the market recently and and and put together this list. But they, I think, are a mortgage company then that is going to help you through this process. I I don’t quite understand the the process. But assumable mortgages, it’s a thing.

Tracy Venturi:
Let’s talk about some houses.

Tego Venturi:
Good idea.

Tracy Venturi:
Fun stuff. So we have a coming soon. 21 zero one silver. Oh, yes. 2101 silver. So that’s right at Buena Vista in silver, just south of the main UNM campus. Yep. Very, very convenient location on the corner of Silver and Buena Vista.

Tracy Venturi:
It’s a very charming could be very charming home. Three bedrooms, 1 and a half bath, 2 car detached garage.

Tego Venturi:
Realty good sized lot?

Tracy Venturi:
Yeah. Good sized yard. The house is livable, but it definitely is ripe for somebody to turn it into a charming gem that it apparently once was. 259.9. And that’s priced according to what people think, it’s going to take to make it that gem. It has, you know, the old original wood floors, but somebody painted them maybe and kind of scratched up and, you know, it’s gonna take some work. Some of the systems need updating. Some of the systems were updated, but a lot of them need updating.

Tracy Venturi:
But it’s Group location and a great opportunity because it’s priced to to know that it does need, like, electrical upgrade. Right? Some other things. So 21 zero one silver. Do you

Tego Venturi:
know what it has that’s rare? It’s got a basement.

Tracy Venturi:
It does have a basement. Yep. And a half bath down there along with some laundry facilities and an extra room that could be hobby or office.

Tego Venturi:
An old big old furnace too. It’s very cool old furnace, but it’s it’s, yeah. No. It it’s, I looked at it. Huge huge potential on that property. Give the address again, Tracy, if somebody want to Google it.

Tracy Venturi:
2101 Silver Southeast. I’m gonna talk about a couple others that are sort of out of area. So 247 Rough Road in Stanley is a, manufactured home, 4 bedrooms on a 160 acres.

Tego Venturi:
Wait. Say that again?

Tracy Venturi:
Yeah. Four bed, 2 bath, $215,000, and it’s a 160 acres in Stanley. So do we all know where Stanley is? You go out through the canyon to the east mountains, and you head north, and you go to Bruce King country. Right? Well, you

Tego Venturi:
go to you, basically, you go to Moriarty, and you take a left.

Tracy Venturi:
Go to Moriarty and go north?

Tego Venturi:
Yeah.

Tracy Venturi:
And then you hit Stanley.

Tego Venturi:
Yeah.

Tracy Venturi:
Yeah. So a 160 acres with a 4 bedroom manufactured home. So that one, I’m I’m surprised at 2/15 that it’s still on the market. It does need to be cash only, because of the manufactured home part of it. So that’s that’s definitely out there. We have another one, in Berlin that I wanna talk about because it’s a 115,500. It’s 187 Garcia Avenue. This is a 2 bedroom, 1 bath, house on, you know, about a 5th of an acre.

Tracy Venturi:
Just a small lot, but a nice little house. It’s it’s ready for a new owner. And if you’re interested at a 1155 in Berlin, you might wanna check that house out itself. In the Terrace area, we have, 49 La Cressida Circle. It’s sort of cabin like, 150,000. It’s also probably cash only. It has some work that was underway, and it needs to be finished. But it’s on an acre in the tall Ponderosas, not too far south on 14, through the Canyon South 14 Yep.

Tracy Venturi:
In Terrace. Yeah.

Tego Venturi:
Kind of Ponderosa area if if people are familiar with that. Yep.

Tracy Venturi:
Yep. And, lots of others. So if you’re looking for something specific, give us a call and see if we’ve got it coming. 448-8888. I know there’s open houses this weekend now that football’s over and now that the Chiefs won the Super Bowl. I know. I talk about it every week. But I I had some bittersweet about that game.

Tego Venturi:
Why?

Tracy Venturi:
Because I really liked Brockportie.

Tego Venturi:
So, you

Tracy Venturi:
know, if the Chiefs would have lost, I would have felt like, well, okay, Brock Purdie won. But, you know, my the Chiefs and my team

Tego Venturi:
everybody’s talking about the 3 peat. So that’s that’s the next the next milestone for them.

Tracy Venturi:
Yeah. You can never be at the top and just stay there and be top. Right? You have to keep growing.

Tego Venturi:
K. I gotta tell you my takeaway from the Super Bowl.

Tracy Venturi:
Okay.

Tego Venturi:
2 things came out of that. 1 was I was watching the interviews after after the, you know, after the game. I think I went to NFL channel and just, you know, kinda watching and talk to different people. And, Patrick Mahomes comes up, and and he talked about how the coaches just hammered into them over and over and over again about what happens during overtime. Tego, like, they were just sick of hearing it, just sick of hearing about what we do at overtime and what the rules are and how it works. And he said, we didn’t even have to think about what we needed to do because we were prepared. We didn’t have to, like, try to remember what we do during overtime and what the rules are. The next day, I heard somebody commenting about how the 49ers did not seem to know what the rules were for overtime.

Tego Venturi:
And, like, it and it would they were 2 totally separate conversations, but they came together then going, yeah, it’s like the 49ers didn’t seem to know what to do, you know, and didn’t quite understand what the rules were regarding overtime. And it’s you know? And so it just it struck me that that’s not the player’s fault. Right? That’s you know, they they they shouldn’t I’m sorry. This is not a sports talk show. But to me, it was more about a story about preparation, preparation, preparation, and over preparing is

Tracy Venturi:
Having your game plan?

Tego Venturi:
Having your game plan and actually knowing what, you know, what is going on and and how to deal with every situation that comes up. So

Tracy Venturi:
Yep. Well, and that’s kind of relates to real estate in that One of the things we do is we make sure we have systems. We have to repeat it. You can’t just tell somebody something once. Right? We have to have repeatable things that make, our clients get the best service, the best marketing, the best whatever to make sure that they’re taken care of as buyers and sellers of real estate.

Tego Venturi:
Yep. You wanna do you wanna outro us here?

Tracy Venturi:
Yeah. It’s always great to be here. We appreciate all of you listeners. Let us know if there’s something that you would like us to talk about or if you have a question of the week that we can help under answer for you. Have a great weekend, and it’s almost feels like spring is coming this week, so we’ll, enjoy it while we can.

Tego Venturi:
Let me give the last. It’s the Venturi Realty Group, real broker here in Central New Mexico, Albuquerque. You can reach us at 505-448-8888. Take care.

Housing Affordability Issues in Albuquerque

Housing Affordability Issues in Albuquerque

Albuquerque Real Estate Talk 479 – February 10, 2024

As experienced Albuquerque Realtors, we aim to simplify the complex dynamics of the Albuquerque real estate market for our clients and listeners. In the latest episode of Albuquerque Real Estate Talk, Episode 479 – February 10, 2024, Tracy and I explore essential topics for anyone navigating the housing market, incorporating both local and national perspectives, and we take a deep dive into Albuquerque Housing Afforability.

The Reality of “Shrinkflation” in Housing

We delve into the phenomenon of “shrinkflation” affecting the Albuquerque housing market. Despite homes becoming slightly smaller, prices are not decreasing. I found a 10% drop in the MEDIAN price of new construction homes from 2022 to 2023; however, the cost per square foot remains constant due to the reduced size of these homes.

Affordable Housing Initiatives

We talked about a topic this week by a national builder in Texas, who has 600-square-foot new homes priced between $145,000 to $160,000, sparking a debate on social media because they are very small and not super attractive. Despite the criticism, we discuss the value of such homes in Albuquerque, where affordable, financeable homes are scarce.

Understanding the Full Cost of Homeownership

Since Townhomes and Condos can seem like a great value when looking at a price only, we emphasize the importance of considering all costs associated with purchasing a home, including interest rates and HOA fees, in particular since a $300/mo HOA fee is equal to $40-$45k home price.

Rental Trends and Co-living

A trend we have seen recently in Albuquerque is the shifting rental prices, with rent price decreases for smaller apartments and increases for larger ones, leading to more people co-living based on what we hear from property managers. We also introduce CoBuy, a company offering solutions for co-buying property, addressing the affordability challenge.

Land Development and Regional Comparisons

Discussing land development, we note that a ready-to-build lot in Albuquerque costs around $100,000; with land development times of 2-3 years, building new affordable homes is challenging.

Legislative Efforts and the Affordability Struggle

I like that New Mexico’s legislative is making efforts to improve housing affordability. Still, there is a need for comprehensive solutions beyond financial aid, including builder incentives and infrastructural support.

We Are Here to Help with Your Albuquerque Real Estate Needs

Despite the challenges discussed, the Venturi Realty Group remains dedicated to assisting clients through the buying or selling process. For those considering entering the Albuquerque real estate market, we invite you to reach out for expert guidance.

Albuquerque Real Estate Market Update and Analysis for January 2024

Albuquerque Real Estate Market Update and Analysis for January 2024

Welcome to our look at the Albuquerque housing market for January 2024.

Tego walks us through the crucial insights into Albuquerque’s real estate market for the start of 2024.

Home Price Forcast Jan 2024

National Insights: Predictions on Home Prices

In national real estate, experts predict higher home prices in the upcoming year. These predictions come from credible sources. Goldman Sachs, Mortgage Bankers Association, Zillow, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Home Price Expectation Survey, and the National Association of Realtors. These forecasts have moved up in the past few months.

National Insights: Mortgage Rate Trends

Mortgage rates have shown volatility, stabilizing at around 7% after a decline in December. Most economists anticipate a gradual mortgage rate decrease through 2024. However, predicting mortgage rates remains challenging as unexpected economic news can have a surprise impact.

Albuquerque Market – January 2024: Closed SalesAlbuquerque Closed Home Sales Jan 2024

In Greater Albuquerque MSA, closed sales dipped by approximately 6%. The most significant decline was in the 250K and under price range. It’s essential to note that this lower-priced segment is shrinking within the market. Total closed sales in the Albuquerque Metro were 545 for Jan 2024. Slightly less than 2023, and ~40% less than 2022

 

 

 

Albuquerque Market – January 2024: Inventory Status

Inventory levels remained relatively stable compared to 2023 at 1,130. The 250K under category saw a significant 37% reduction. The 250K to 400K range experienced an increase, partially due to price appreciation. For perspective, January of 2019 had 2,597 properties on the market.

Albuquerque Market – January 2024: Positive Pending Sales

Pending sales were at 877 and had a 12% increase compared to 2023. This rebound follows a sluggish start in 2023, primarily attributed to higher mortgage rates.

Albuquerque Market – January 2024: New Listings

Newly listed homes offered limited relief to buyers. There were 835 new listings in January a modest increase in new listings compared to the previous 23.

Albuquerque Market – January 2024: Supply and Demand RatioAlbuquerque Housing Supply January 2024

The supply and demand ratio, measured in months of supply, currently stands at 1.4 months. It remains notably low but varies significantly across different price ranges with under $250k at 1/2 month supply and over $600k at 3 months.

Albuquerque Market – January 2024: Days on Market

Median days on the market in January were 21 days, slightly higher than in recent years but still within historically low levels. For January of 2019, it was 32 days.

Albuquerque Market – January 2024: Showing Traffic

Showing traffic, based on lockbox data, experienced a slight decrease from the previous year, despite an increase in pending sales. On average homes had 6.8 showing in Jan.

Albuquerque Home Prices: Price per Square Foot

The median price per square foot stands at $200, a 9% increase compared to the previous year. However, prices in the higher market segments (over 600k) remained relatively stable, and lower price points saw a greater increase.

Albuquerque Home Prices: Median and Average Prices

Albuquerue’s Median and Average home prices had a 6.6% (median) and 3.9% (average) year-over-year (Jan vs Jan) increase. Tego estimates that based on this and other data, annual price appreciation in Albuquerque is in the 6-8% range at the moment.

Connect With Us

If you have questions or require advice on Albuquerque real estate, don’t hesitate to reach out to The Venturi Group of Real Broker at 505-448-8888. Let us help you navigate real estate. Thanks for joining us!

 

Full Video Transcript:

It is February 2024, and it is time to take a look at the Albuquerque housing market data for January 2024. I’ve got a couple national, pieces I want to show you here first, and then we’ll jump into the Albuquerque numbers And what is going on with the Albuquerque real estate market? Alright. It is by the way, it’s Tego Venturi, Venturi Realty Group, of Real Broker here in Albuquerque, and I’ve been doing these for years. And looking at market data way too much, I thing, but I I really would love to stay on top of it and share it with you.

2024 Home Price Forecast

So 2024 home price forecast, this is nationally. This just came up and it just was updated, and that’s the interesting thing about it. As you go through the list here, Goldman Sachs, Mortgage Bankers Association, Zillow, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Home price expectation survey, that is a that’s a big picture where they survey 100 about a 100 different economists and then the NAR, National Association. And you can see everybody’s bumped up their forecast there.

Everybody’s expecting a little bit higher price appreciation this year as opposed to what they were thinking here a few months ago. And these are always changing, and, You know, you pretty much guarantee that these are gonna be inaccurate, but it gives you an idea of what the economists are feeling right now about the housing market nationally.

Mortgage Rates

The next piece of data I wanna jump on is the mortgage rates, because mortgage mortgage rates have a really big impact on what’s going on in the housing market in that that up forecast that we just saw, price appreciation forecast we just saw, has a lot to do with this right here.

So back well, you know, we go back to October or so of last year, And then we had a big drop in mortgage rates here back in the beginning of December, and then they were down a little bit, and then they dropped again here a few weeks ago. Now they’re back hovering around this 7%.

This is a 1 year chart, so you can kinda see the the ebbs and flow of this. Right now, mortgage rates are just under 7. Every week when there’s a different economic data that comes out, this might vary and change a little bit, but it gives you a sense of where Things were at most economists are projecting mortgage rates to go down through the year 2024, but That that’s a tough thing to project because there’s so many things that can impact mortgage rates.

Albuquerque Market Data for January

But right now, they’re they’re better than they’ve been, we can say that. Okay. So we’re gonna jump into the Albuquerque market data for January. We’re looking at January 2024. The number of sales. A look at supply, demand, days on market, as well as prices, and what is going on with home prices in Albuquerque. 1st and foremost, this is all single family detached and attached homes in the Greater Albuquerque area, all lumped together here. Greater Albuquerque, meaning the entire metro area.

And I’ve got this broken down by 4 different price ranges to give us some perspective. And so we have 250 and under, we have 250 to 4, 4 to 6, and 6 and above, and then the the big bars here on the far right of the screen are overall.

What we find is that closed sales are down about 5 well, 6% from last year. And you can see the greatest drop is in that 2.50 and under. We’re gonna find that a lot when we go here because The 2.50 and under price point is kinda going away, to be honest with you. There’s not a lot in that range, and you can see That lower middle, we’ll call it 250, pretty much equal with last year, and then that 4 to 6 actually had an increase. The higher end of the luxury market, let’s say, 6 and above, dropped a little bit, but it’s not a huge, huge move. Alright.

Inventory

Inventory, that’s always kind of the well, not always, but that’s been a big conversation lately, just a number of homes available.

It’s been very low over the year well. Really starting in 2019, and I’ll show you some perspective on that here in a second. But you can see the number home in the market if we look at overall exactly equal with last year, but above 2 years ago in 2022 when we were with the really, really low levels. You can see again back to this 250 and under, that dropped 37%, and we had an increase in the number of homes 4 to 6. A lot of that has to do just with price appreciation, more homes moving into that price range.

And I do wanna share with you and, oh, by the way, If you’re watching this on YouTube, please hit the subscribe button. It really would help me out just sharing this message on what’s going on in the Albuquerque housing market.Β And this is all on our website at welcome home a b q.com. In fact, these charts are just right off my website. I’m just doing a screen record of, our website.

Pending Sales

Pending sales, we saw some improvement there. So we saw 12% increase in the number of pending sales versus last year. Last Here at the beginning of the year, it was little little uncomfortable because mortgage rates were real really high. It was We had just come off that crazy 2 years, and it was relatively slow. So we’re pretty much equal back with 2022 pending sales.

And remember at the beginning of 22, it was still a very busy market until mid 22 when interest rates really, really spiked up. Alright. Newly listed homes on the market, not a whole lot of relief there for homebuyers. I mean, we are getting more, slightly more than last year, but still very limited number of homes coming on the market. I’m gonna run through some of these relatively quickly.

Months Supply

A month’s supply of inventory. This is our supply versus demand measurement ratio. We’re at 1.4 month supply, which is very low, still very low, but you can see across price ranges it’s very different.

So let’s just say that that 2.50 to 4 range, 1 month supply. Meaning, there’s 30 days worth of homes out there if everything just started kept selling at the same pace and nothing new came on. Under 2.50, no surprise, about 15 days. But then you get in the high end, it’s more like 3 months supply. So It really depends on what price range you’re in and what what the supply demand ratios are, of course.

Days on Market

Alright. Days on market, I’m gonna skip right to median days on market instead of average because this tells us, okay, half the homes sold in this many days, half of them sold for more than that many days. And in January, it was 21 days, which which is much higher than we’ve seen over the the last couple years.

However, that’s still very low historically just because we’re coming off of those crazy years of of 21 and and half of 22. And, Again, it’s all based on price range too. Homes that are more expensive stay in the market longer. Homes that are less expensive sell relatively quickly. Showing traffic.

Foot Traffic

This one, I I love it. It gives us an idea of how many people are actually seeing the homes. This is based on tracking how many times homes are shown based the lock boxes that we use.Β And it gives us a sense of just, you know, how many people out there looking. It’s actually down, which from last year, which is interesting because pendings were actually ups. Not sure what that means. I’m maybe it’s just that people are a little more not looking as at as many homes than they were last year and getting them under contract.

Albuquerque Home Prices for January

Alright. Everybody wants to know what’s going on with pricing. So we’re gonna look at median price per square foot. So this is of the home that sold, which is a nice measurement because it eliminates some of the square foot variations we get in overall median price.

Price per square foot, 200 a square foot. That’s 9% higher than last year. Last year was 5% higher than 22. You can see, though, in the higher price point, it’s pretty flat. Has well, it’s exactly the same number, 248 versus 248 a square foot. However, no surprise, you get net kind of middle middle price point, lower middle price point, 2.50 to 400, we saw a 9 a half percent increase in median price per square foot. If we look at it from an average standpoint, a little bit lower, it’s only 6% from last year.

Right now, Based on all the other data that I’m looking at as well as this, I I we’re we’re tracking somewhere around 6, seven, maybe 8% price appreciation across the board.

Again, that’s not 1 individual home. It’s just when you when you average it out everywhere, It appears to be that year over year price appreciation is somewhere in that 6 to 8% price range. And then finally, median price. Median price, all the homes that sold in January was 325,000, that is 6% higher than last year. And then in the the average price for January was 365,000, which is 4% higher than last year. Packed a lot in there as normal. If you’ve got any questions about real estate in Albuquerque, you can reach out to us. We are The Venturi Group of Real Broker.

Resources

Our number is (505) 448-8888. And, again, all of this is on our website at welcomehomeabq.com. Just look under market the market tab and monthly data, and you’ll see this whole chart that we just looked at right there.