Albuquerque Housing Market: Rapid Price Appreciation Favors Smaller Homes

Albuquerque Housing Market: Rapid Price Appreciation Favors Smaller Homes

Albuquerque Housing Market: Rapid Price Appreciation Favors Smaller Homes

June 2023 Home Prices

The housing market in Albuquerque is displaying remarkable year-over-year home price growth despite higher mortgage interest rates and affordability challenges. Based on analysis of Single-Family, Detached, Resale Homes that sold in June 2023, all indicators for home prices in the Albuquerque Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) have seen an increase in comparison to the previous year, resulting in new record-high sale prices. The extent to which home prices increase varies depending on the size and price range of the properties. Generally, smaller and lower-priced homes experienced the most significant price appreciation.

In June 2023, the Median sale price of single-family detached homes in the Albuquerque MSA rose to a new all-time high of $365,000, surpassing May’s $350,000 and up 10.9% from June 2022’s median of $329,000. Average sale price was also at an all time high for June at $416,213.00


When examining the price change from a different perspective, the average price per square foot also increased for these properties. It increased to $202 per sqft, a 4.7% rise in comparison to June 2022.

Interestingly, the rate of price appreciation varied noticeably depending on the pricing and sizing of homes. Homes sold for under $350,000 experienced a 5.0% gain in average price per square foot from the previous year. In contrast, homes sold for over $350,000 saw a slower, albeit still healthy, 3.4% increase in average per square foot.

The story is similar when the homes were segmented based on their size. Homes under 2000 square feet witnessed a hefty 7.2% increase in average price per square foot, whereas homes over 2000 square feet saw a more moderate 3.7% increase.

This market behavior reinforces that the current housing market dynamics are favoring smaller, more affordable homes, as evidenced by the comparatively higher rate of price appreciation. This could be due to a multitude of factors, such as changing buyer demographics, budget constraints in the wake of higher mortgage rates, and, most notably, a limited supply of moderately priced properties creating increased competition.

It’s worth noting that June is historically the seasonal peak in home prices in Albuquerque. This seasonal pattern could provide a valuable frame of reference for potential buyers and sellers when planning their real estate strategies.

The Albuquerque housing market’s current landscape presents a fascinating snapshot of the interplay between supply, demand, and socio-economic factors. With smaller, more affordable homes experiencing a faster pace of price appreciation, potential buyers, particularly first-time homeowners or those seeking investment opportunities, might want to adjust their strategies accordingly.

As we continue to navigate through these robust market conditions, it’s essential to stay informed, analyze market trends, and make data-driven decisions. The Albuquerque housing market is more vibrant than ever, and it’s an exciting time to participate in it.

 

Albuquerque Real Estate Talk #441 – April 8, 2023

Albuquerque Real Estate Talk #441 – April 8, 2023

Welcome To Albuquerque Real Estate Talk, the go to radio show for all things real estate in the heart of New Mexico. I’m your host, Tracy Venturi, and alongside me is my fantastic co host, Tego Venturi. We’re with Venturi Realty Group of Reel Broker, and we’re coming to you this week, Tego, on show 441.

Wow, that was a beautiful script you just had there. I love that.

Yeah, we’ve been coming to you for nine years on KIVA Radio at 1600 AM.

If I’m fantastic, you’re fabulous. The fabulous Tracy Venturi.

Thank you, Tego. So together, we’re your guides in all things real estate for here in central New Mexico. Whether you’re a first time buyer or a seasoned investor, just curious about the market, we have got you covered. So sit back, relax. Let’s dive into the latest news right here on KIVA 1600 AM and also on Facebook, YouTube, all of those online things. Be sure to give us a like or follow and let us know what else you want to know about Albuquerque Real Estate. Tego, what’s on store for.

Today’s show? What’s on store for today? Well, we just got the March data on the Albuquerque housing market. We can talk about that. There’s some national news just relating to the health of the housing market and what’s going on there. We had a question that came up this week. What’s up with septics and septic inspections when a property sells? We wanted to talk about that subject. I almost used another word in there, but I’m not going to do it. Good. I’m not going to do it. Let’s see, what else, Tracy? Property taxes. Property taxes. It’s that time of year. We wanted to talk about that. In fact, we got a call from the Bernalillo County Treasurer who wanted us to make sure we talked about it on the show, and we appreciate Nancy Bears. Yeah, Bears. I had to think of her name for a second. The Bernalillo County Treasurer. Let’s just start off there, Tracy, with property taxes because it is time for second half. Is that right?

Sure. As most of our listeners probably know, if you own property and you pay property tax, the taxes are paid in arrears here. So right now, we have not paid for the second half of 2022. Those are due April 10th. So right now…

Let’s see, it is April…

Actually, they’re due, but they’re not late till May 10th.

Got it. Is that what it is? Okay.

After May 10th, they’re delinquent, subject to interest and penalties. Now they’re due, but you do have a little leeway there, so it’s time to pay those. So if you have a mortgage on your property, chances are pretty high that your lender is paying your property taxes for you. They’ve been collecting escrows all along with every one of your mortgage payments. And when they’re due, they make that payment for you. If you own properties cash, free and clear type properties, you have to remember that you got payment coupons a long time ago, probably, that you use to make your payments twice a year. Some people, obviously, when they’re in cash, they just pay it once a year, which is fine. You can prepay before it’s due. But it’s one of those things where sometimes you forget about it. So if that’s you. And there are some folks with mortgages who pay their own property taxes. And if you do that, I’m sure you know that because you had to set it up that way. Or the way your loan was set up, you know that those escrows aren’t being collected for you. So there’s lots of ways to pay your property taxes.

You can get online and the website is out there on Bernalillo County Treasurer’s office.

Let me make a side note about that because, gosh, I guess it’s been about a year, maybe over a year now, that both Bernalillo County and Sandoval County, because I have some properties I need to pay taxes on in both the counties, they upgraded their websites so that it’s a much nicer, more modern dashboard for keeping track of property. Some of us that own multiple properties, it’s a nice dashboard. We can see all the properties you own, what property taxes have been paid, and which ones have not been paid. So set that up and get a login for that. It makes your life a whole lot easier.

Sounds great, Tego. So it’s not just Bernalillo County, right? We’ve got Sandoval, Valencia, Santa Fe counties all within our metro area here. Depending on the best way to pay those taxes. But I’ve seen that site you’re talking about, it’s pretty awesome the way you can just load them all in there and you can pay right from there, right? Yeah, it’s great. There’s also the ability to pay them in person at Rio Grande Credit Union, but otherwise it’s checks and they want you to put the property information on the check. So of course, they can affiliate it with the right property, something like that. So if you have any questions about that, we’d be happy to help 448 888 is our phone number and happy.

To help you with that. We get the lead off the show with exciting things that telling people that their bills are due.

Well, let’s talk about another thing that’s happened right now. We’re getting… Same thing, right? The notice of values.

Yeah, the assessed values.

Assessed values. The notice of values just went out. Those are not tax bills. A lot of people get confused. They get this from assessed values from the assessor’s office and they think it’s a tax bill. That’s the notice right now that says this is how much we think your house or your property is worth that will result in a tax bill later this year based on these values. Right now, there’s very firm deadlines of when you would need to protest those assessed values. If you want to protest them, if you look at it, actually open that mail and look at the assessed value and go, Wait, my house isn’t worth that much, or My property, the neighbor just sold and theirs was less or whatever.

Yeah. One thing just to keep in mind on that, if you’ve been in the property and you haven’t moved, there’s a 3 % cap on that. But if you just purchased a property and when it transfers ownership, the assessor, which is different than the treasure, they’re going to reassess the value of the property when ownership changes. That’s when people usually get that big sticker shock on their tax bill because something that hasn’t been assessed at a higher value suddenly sells, especially after the last three years where we’ve had, let’s say, 30, maybe even 40 % home price appreciation in the Albuquerque area. Just be aware of that. Usually, though, and Tracy, we should talk about this because there is a statute in New Mexico when we as realtors help somebody purchase a home, we are required to provide them what the future tax bill could be.

Just.

So they understand that what they’re seeing right now as the property taxes for something they’re buying is not what the future is because that 3 % cap on an increase in your taxes for property taxes is only if you don’t sell the property. If you stay in it long term, it’s 3 % a year. But if it sells, they can assess it at the new value.

Okay, let me give some good news on taxes because all we’re talking about… Oh, I.

Interrupted you. I just wanted to say, if you need help with protesting, there’s information on the notice of value of how to do that. But if you think your property really needs extra help, there’s companies that can help you do that. I know Scott Clark’s Double Eagle Property Tax Consultation is one company is really well known around here to help people protest.

Property tax. The big place that comes in is commercial properties because that can be huge. Obviously, residential properties, which is our world, but commercial properties can make a huge difference.

But a big jump for residential can be huge for people, too. Anyway, that’s out there. Just want to mention it.

What did I start to say?

Something else about good news on taxes.

Good news on taxes. I was looking at one of the guys I follow that’s a housing economist. He actually happens to be in Texas. Just looking at what Texas tax bills and property taxes are much higher than New Mexico. Granted, Texas doesn’t have income tax, so it… But anyway, just interesting how high property taxes are in Texas versus New Mexico. T hat’s something people coming from Texas are like, Wow, it’s a lot cheaper.

Houses are more expensive oftentimes, though, here than many parts of Texas.

Obviously, it depends. It really.

Depends on where it is. If you’re Austin versus rural Texas.

Yeah. Austin is very different. Austin is the San Francisco from a housing economy standpoint compared to the rest of the country. Tracy, I wanted to talk about rental properties because I saw an interesting story about who owns most of the rental properties in the country. I thought that was interesting. But then it brought me back to this idea that last week we had one of our properties that we own and we put it for rent. Oh, my gosh, the frenzy of people that are looking for good rental properties right now, there is definitely a shortage of rental properties, especially… Well, I don’t know this for sure, but it definitely seemed like it when you’re talking about single family detached homes in a neighborhood. There’s not much out there. Rental prices have gone up substantially. I went and pulled this up because obviously there’s a lot of people talking about cost of housing in general and that home prices have gone up, like I said, maybe 35 %, 40 % over the last three or four years. Combined. Yeah, combined over that. A two bedroom in the Greater Albuquerque area now is, what they’re saying, median rent is about $1,400 for a two bedroom.

That’s a 24 % increase in a year. Wow. Now, if you look at a three bedroom, it’s not that much of an increase, but it’s about 12 % increase. This is from Zumpier, which is one of those rental listing websites and they track all this data. A three bedroom now, median rent is $2,000 a month. I remember when we were purchasing rental properties, maybe five years ago, a three bedroom house, $12,000, $1300 a month. Now, a three bedroom house, just your average three bedroom, two bath, two car garage house in many parts of town. Many parts of town. I mean, 1900, 2000 is like the minimum going rent now for a three bedroom house.

So eah, well, we’re not experts on apartments, but we do know some of the apartments around are that much for an apartment versus a single family home.

I think that’s the big story in real estate is just cost of housing in general. People talk about how much home prices have gone up and people are getting priced out and mortgage rates went up. But it’s the same in the rental market, too. And that’s the only correlation I want to bring into this conversation is it’s not just buying, it’s also renting that’s gone up substantially. And unfortunately for a lot of folks, you need to live somewhere. Anyway, just wanted to bring that one up.

Good. So March, I know my Statomatic Tego, my Statomatic. I’m sure you want to share some of the March data with us now that we’re into April.

I did a video. It’s on YouTube. It’s on… Of course, I put it on course, I put it on Facebook, too, and you can find it. Again, it’s the Tego Venturi or Venturi group. You can search us or Venturi Realty group in Albuquerque. You’ll find it. It’s out there. And I did a March update. I looked at the data that just came in for March for the Albuquerque MLS. A couple of things that continue, I guess, as a trend is low supply, just not very many homes on the market, not very many people listing their homes for sale. This time of year, right now, on a seasonal basis is when we generally see the biggest surge of people putting their homes on the market. We’ve got a few more weeks here before that really kicks in. Usually, it’s mid to late April is when we see a big surge.

Well, and usually it’s a lot warmer by now. And when it starts warming up, it seems like the real estate market heats up. And so our houses coming on the market seems to be following a little bit of the cool weather we’ve been having.

Yeah.

But it’s else. That’s my nonstatistical input to your story.

Yeah. And I think obviously the school year has a lot to do with that, too. Definitely has a lot to do with that. So yeah, just low number of homes on the market. Every week, we’re seeing about, let’s say, 250 to 300 homes come on the market and about 250 to 300 homes to go off the market. So we’re just keeping this even level of number of homes on the market. It’s not going up, it’s not going down. You have a better sense of this than I is, you’re seeing the number of people that are reaching out to us saying, Hey, I’m looking for a home. You’re seeing that. That’s what you do. That’s what you’re watching. That’s what you’re doing is helping our people on our team help these people that are looking for homes. The flow of that has increased, right?

It has, yeah. We’ve got plenty of people are looking for homes, yes.

There’s no shortage of that.

There’s not a shortage of home buyers.

There’s definitely a shortage of home sellers. Homes on… Would you say there’s shortage of home sellers or it’s just more limited than normally what we would see in Albuquerque?

I think that’s the same. Both of those options.

Well, no, no, no. Okay, yeah, I hear you. Okay, all right. I accept that. I accept your opinion. You’re so funny. We’re married. Okay, so anyway, so that’s the big thing. Then the other thing is home prices. I went into this a little in depth on the video I did, and you can look at it. I’m showing you the charts and what’s happened. I’ve been seeing this all year. Home prices peaked in May June. They pulled back all the way through December, and then they started to go back up. When I say pulled back, it’s a couple 3 % just depending. It wasn’t this huge move. It’s quite common that we see home prices peak in the late spring, early summer, and then just be flat or pull back slightly through the winter. This year, it was a little bit more pronounced than years past. I’m 100 % sure that has to do with the interest rate issue that we had last year, where we went from 3 %, 4 % at the beginning of the year to 7 % at one point. Just on a side note, we pulled back a little bit. We’re in the low to mid 6 s right now.

Not great, but better than it was.

I’m sorry, but I still think 6 s is great. I don’t think we should tell people it’s not. I think about my 20 year career in real estate so far, and 6 s . Back when I first got in real estate in the early 2000s, it was seven, seven and a half for probably my first seven years in real estate. So it’s still pretty darn good. Cheap money, really, when you think about it, especially when you look at the rental information that you just brought up. When you think about how much it costs to rent, you might as well be paying down your own mortgage for the same amount of money. If you’re going to be paying 2,000 a month for rent, you might as well be buying a home.

Anyway. 100 % agree. Of course, we’re a little bit biased, but we’re real estate investors. We believe in it. I think it’s an asset class that everybody should be participating in.

You can say we’re biased, but, Tego, we really believe in home ownership, not for us, but for the people, for clients, for the public, for the world. It’s not we want to sell a house. It’s for the joy and the satisfaction we get helping somebody with home ownership.

I saw a chart and I don’t have it in front of me, but it was a stat talking about how much net worth… Let me rephrase that. Of people’s net worth, how much of it is their real estate? Needless to say, most of people that have some substantial net worth or any net worth, basically they’re not in debt upside down. It’s their real estate. It’s their.

Real estate. It’s a huge percentage.

It’s a huge percentage. It’s a higher percentage on the lower income bracket than the higher income bracket because people in the higher income have the ability to diversify more and buy stocks and other types of assets.

But they still have a substantial portion of wealth through real estate, typically. Oh, of course. Even though they’re more diversified.

Yeah, absolutely. This actually, I’m going to backtrack a little bit because I forgot to mention the story because I found it interesting, but it ties in with this whole idea of a lot of Americans have a lot of their net worth in real estate and have done very well with it. There was a survey that the National Association of Realtors did, and what they were doing was looking at the rental properties in the country. What they said is there’s almost, well, it’s 49.5 million, let’s say, 50 million rental housing units in the United States. Nearly 46 % of them are small rental properties. So one to four units. Those are the small.

We’re not talking a huge apartment complex.

Yeah, we’re not talking the big apartment.

50 % of them are small.

Okay. Of those, let’s say 25 million, give or take properties that are the small, one to four units, 70 % of them are owned by individuals, not big companies. I bet it’s even higher than that because so many individuals have a LLC or a Corporation that they affiliate them through. There’s been a lot of conversation in the last two years about all these hedge funds and Wall Street money buying up all the houses. T hey’re buying the houses and renting them. T hat is happening. There’s no doubt about it because these big investment firms are saying, Hey, that’s a great asset class to own, and they’re wanting to buy real estate. T hey’re some of the smartest people when it comes to managing money and they like real estate too. But the highest percentage of rental properties are owned by the mom and pops, basically.

Right. And we know that locally. Well, we have a lot of friends who own a fourplex or a duplex or just small rental properties, and that’s part of their strategy and they love it.

And that goes back to this conversation about the lack of new homes coming on the market. People aren’t listing their homes for sale as much. I think somebody that looks at the numbers and crunches the number, they bought a home, let’s say, five years ago and they need to move, but they don’t necessarily need to sell to buy the next house or do their move. They’re looking at renting it instead of reselling it because when you crunch numbers and there’s a lot of different things to look at when you’re evaluating if a property cash flows and it’s going to have good internal rate of return over time, a lot of people are choosing to just rent their properties instead of selling it.

Because.

I go back to the whole conversation, the rental market is very strong in Albuquerque right now, without a doubt. Tracy, let’s talk about this crappy subject. Okay, I got to do it. I had to do the joke. I couldn’t let it go.

This is a septic discussion. I thought we were going to do things on this show because it’s Easter week, it’s Passover week, and we were going to do things like, let’s hipity hopity into homes this week, or bunny something or other.

No, we’re going to talk about septic tanks.

But we’re going to talk septic tanks. Property Evaluations evaluations of September tanks? Let me.

Set this up.

Okay.

Question came up this week, property selling, and the buyer says, I don’t want a septic inspection. Well, I don’t want to get in the weeds on that, but there is a rule, a statute. I don’t even know if it’s actually a law or just a statute or what it is, but the state environmental department does have regulations on what needs to happen if a property has a septic tank when it transfers ownership.

Prior to the transfer of a property which has an existing onsite liquid waste system, the current system owner must have the system inspected and evaluated by a third party inspector, as described, utilizing a department approved form. It doesn’t really state who?

It has to be a licensed inspector, correct. They have to be licensed to do that evaluation. Yeah.

It’s got to be certified by the national… There’s a New Mexico certification or a national certification is the way it looks. So yes, we are required upon sale, to have a septic system inspected and it should be properly permitted and be working properly. And septic systems vary. There’s several different types. There’s the system that’s pretty low tech.

It’s basically a big tank.

Big tank with an overflow for liquids to flow off into a drain field. And when they inspect that, they inspect both parts of that. So sometimes the tank can be fine, but the drain field isn’t draining. Or the other way around. The drain field is working, but the tank is broken, cracked, the concrete’s whatever. Usually when we see it unearthed and the lid has a bunch of vines coming out of it, we know it’s probably not a valid working tank. Yeah, if.

There’s something growing inside there, that means there’s a crack. Or if the water is basically the liquid is very low, that means it’s probably leaking.

Then there’s the engineered system, which is better for a rocky area, the side of a mountain, or in granite, or bouldery area.

Well, yeah, the advanced treatment system is almost like a mini water treatment plant. They’re a lot more expensive, but basically your water coming out of that, the liquid coming out of that is in much better condition and you don’t need as much space. That’s really the big benefit. You don’t need as much room to do it. So if you are a home seller and you have a septic system, would you advise that they get that inspected before they put it on the market? What’s your thought there?

Personally, what I would do is I would start right away getting it on the schedule to be inspected because we know that the regs for septic inspections changed a few years ago. They’re pretty stiff. A lot of them are failing, older tanks are failing. Even not that old of a tank is failing because of the new regulations and they have to open up both ends of the tank or whatever, depending on the type of tank. And it can take quite a while to get on somebody’s schedule to.

Replace it. We need Sean Benavidez with your grand septic here with us to give us all that.

Well, I’ve been to a lot of inspection.

There’s a lot of good people that are real experts in this. But one thing interesting, just this week, Tracy, we had to get a septic inspection scheduled in the East Mountains, and we couldn’t find anybody. Everybody was two weeks out. That’s the other thing. So if you have a property and you’re getting ready to sell it or you’re just putting it on the market, I agree with you. I would say get that inspection started earlier than later. You’re going to have to do it anyway. We have seen a lot of deals, let’s just say it, fall through because of it, because it got put aside. And then during the due diligence period, you finally get the inspection done and realize there are some issues and the seller really hadn’t considered that additional cost. Getting it done up front is going to put you ahead. Now, the other thing, Tracy, is there’s a timeline. Once that inspection is done, it’s only good for a certain amount of time, right? Yes.

I was looking for that in my notes here. I think it’s 180 days, which is six months.

That’s what I remember as well, six months.

If your house isn’t going to sell quickly, it’ll have to be reinspected if you get it inspected and it’s more than 180 days from that date. Or you can provide, if you had to put a new one in, you can provide that information. There’s databases you can look up. We have found that here and there, the septic tanks don’t have a license. They aren’t registered. They need to have a permit versus a license. It’s a permit. There’s databases at the New Mexico Environmental Department to look up permits, and we work really hard to help the septic companies, our clients find those permits because sometimes the legal is there and not the address or the ad.

Another story just in this last week where Trish who handles our transaction and all those crazy details that have to happen during the contract to close period. There was a septic system in this property. They couldn’t find it. They couldn’t find it. They couldn’t.

Find the permit online.

They couldn’t find the permit. They knew that it was done, but they couldn’t find it. Anyway, long story short, it was on a different name. The naming never got transferred when it was sold before.

It had the wrong property address on it.

That’s what it was, wrong property address. If you get that stuff done ahead of time, it’s just going to put you that much further.

Ahead when you’re selling. There’s enough moving parts in selling your home. You have a septic system that getting this taken care of timely on your timeline, less stress involved at that.

Well, there’s a lot going on if you’re getting ready to sell your home. We know that. This is just one of those things that you can maybe just overlook because you got a thousand other things that you’re trying to do to get the home ready to sell. And a.

Lot of times if you have a septic tank, you might also have a well, which is another thing. Wells get inspected. Usually buyers want them inspected. There’s not a state regulation, but we suggest to home buyers that they get the water tested in addition to the well equipment to make sure that there’s no bacteria, E. Coli or Coloform or other things. I guess some people do lead even testing, making sure that the water to drink is safe.

That’s a.

Whole another topic.

That’s a whole another topic, but it’s a good one. Tracy, it’s time to wrap up. It’s already been a half hour. We’ve been talking and talking and talking and covered a lot there. But this is Albuquerque Real Estate Talk.

This is what we do. We’re on KIVA, 1600 AM. We come every week with our banter back and forth, and we love it because this is what we do anyway.

Yeah. If you tune in, you’re listening to us and you’re… Give us a like, give us a share, or subscribe on YouTube to help boost message and get good information about there for homeowners and home buyers and home sellers.

And if you want to buy a house with us, sell a house with us, give us a call at 448-8888, and we’ll get you well taken care of with our great team. And if you’re.

Interested in careers in real estate, we can talk about that, too. Absolutely. We have some opportunities there for people that are interested and even people that are experienced real estate agents would love to talk to you about what we can do there.

So have a hippity hoppity Easter and we’ll see you next week. All right.

Thanks, Tracy. Again, Venturi Realty Group with Reel Broker. We’re at 505- 448-8hippity-hoppity888. Have a great Easter weekend. Take care.

Albuquerque New Mexico Housing Market Update – March 2023

Albuquerque New Mexico Housing Market Update – March 2023

Let’s take a look at the Albuquerque housing market data that just came in for March 2023. It is the first week of April in 2023 this is Tego Venturi with the Venturi Group of Real Broker in Albuquerque, New Mexico. Been looking at this housing market data for years. Let me show you what I am seeing here. We are going to look at everything that happened in March. First and foremost, we’re going to look at median sale price. By the way, this is single family detached homes in the entire Albuquerque area. So median sale price, basically 336,000. Interesting piece to that is that is a 4.7 % increase over March of last year. Now, median price, we get a lot of variation throughout the year because more larger homes sell generally in the spring, early summer, and not so much in the winter. So we do see pullbacks. Now, we did have an unusual fallback in median price this winter. A lot of that had to do with the high mortgage rates that we saw, especially starting in September, October. Now, we look at it from a price per square foot standpoint, it tells us a little bit different picture because price per square foot takes out that larger, smaller house of variable a little bit, not 100 %, but it does take it out quite a bit more.

If we’re looking at Albuquerque, again, Greater Albuquerque area, 5.5 % increase in price per square foot from March of last year. So 193 March this year, and that’s exactly what it was in May June of last year, which were our price peaks. So we do seem to be on this year over year price appreciation path, and it doesn’t seem to be slowing down at this point. I’ve got some other data that I could give you to point that out, but we’re not going to get into that right now. It’s actually the list price data which continues to increase. I think one of the big stories that really needs to be highlighted is the number of homes on the market, not just total number of homes, but actual number of homes are getting listed for sale continues to be down 18 % from last year, which was down from the year before, which was down from the year before. And if I do this on a 12 month rolling chart, it really highlights this. People just aren’t selling their homes as often. They’re staying in their homes longer. And so we continue to see that trend here.

And I expect this trend to continue. People that are in those 3, 4, even 5 % mortgages are going to be a little bit hesitant to jump into a 6, 6.5 %, 7 % mortgage. Although mortgages are in a little better place right now, mid to low 6 s right now. Closed sales down. Again, this is the 12 month, let me do the monthly. We have this two different things going on when you talk about the housing markets. Home prices are healthy and continue to go up. Now, if you’re a home buyer, you’re going to say, Well, that’s not so great. But for homeowners and people that are building equity in their homes, it’s great news. But the number of home selling has declined. I’ve heard housing economists call it a housing recession, meaning we’re just not seeing as many homes selling on a year over year basis as we have in the past. And you can see from March of this year to March of last year is down 26 %. And if we do it on a rolling 12 month, it’s down 23 %. So that’s the lowest we’ve seen in a long time the number of homes actually selling.

We had that big peak back in 2021. So yes, the number of home selling is down, supply is down, demand is slower but not out. Let’s look at a couple of demand numbers here. Pending sales down from last year, down 16 %, so not great. But there’s 864 homes that went under contract and people that put homes under contract in March of 23 in the Albuquerque area. Then the other one I’d like to look at is the step before the pending and that is foot traffic. This is number of showings per home that’s on the market. We’re at 8.2 this month, just about the same as last month, but that is up from the low numbers we had during the winter, which is common. It always slows down during the winter. But you can see it’s way down from last year. Last year, in fact, last March, was peak frenzy. We’re not seeing that this year, but it’s very steady. The biggest challenge we see for home buyers right now is just limited choices. They’re, in many cases having to compete. The good homes are still seeing multiple offers, especially depending on price point as well.

But again, that’s not across the board. We’re seeing million dollar homes getting multiple offers as well. It really depends. You need a good real estate professional to help you navigate this real estate market. So if we can help, that’s what we do. We’re the Venturi Group with Real Broker. You can reach us at 505-448-8888. Thanks for watching. Give me a shout if you ever have any questions about the Real Estate Market in Albuquerque. Take care.

Albuquerque Real Estate Market Update for the week of March 27, 2023

Albuquerque Real Estate Market Update for the week of March 27, 2023

It is Monday, March 27th, 2023. Let’s take a look at the Albuquerque Housing Market data. I’ve got updated data that came in over the weekend as well as just what’s been going on in the real estate market nationally. And the big national story is mortgage rates. Let’s go ahead and pull up that chart. All right. We’re looking at a big move here in the last week or so. Mortgage rates have pulled back. There was a point where we were flirting with over 7 % and they’ve pulled back. Again, this is average as though these are the best rates that people get. But good news is mortgage rates have pulled back and they’ve been volatile up and down. But it’s something to keep an eye on if you’re buying or selling and just know what’s going on out there. The next chart I want to look at is our market tracker. And what this shows us is the active homes for sale in the market. It gives us a real good feel of where we are and as well as where we may be going. I’ve got some pretty good insights here in this week’s report.

And over the weekend, we got the data. And what we see here is the market action index, which is just an algorithm that tells us, are we buyer’s market seller’s market? But what you can see, the black line here is this year and we are trending up, meaning less supply, a little more demand, and that continues to be going. When we look at the number of homes on the sale for sale, we can see for sale, we can see why. And that is because we just don’t have a lot of homes on the market. You can see we’re above… Let me pull this up so we can see that. You can see in 2021, 2022, and then 2023. Now, we have more than both ’21 and ’22, but you can tell at the beginning of 2020 and the beginning of 2019, which were still solid years in real estate, we’re still down quite a bit. Just not as many people listing their homes. And we can see that in the data here on new listings. This is a weekly look at the number of homes coming on the market in the Albuquerque area. And again, the black line you can see, lowest it’s been.

And that trend has been happening since last year and going into this year. Just people aren’t putting their homes on the market as much. So it’s affected the supply of homes on the market. A lot of reasons for that. I’m not going to get into it here. But one of the beliefs out there is that people that have low mortgage rates right now, people that got those 3.5 %, 4 %, even 4.5 % mortgages, aren’t too excited about jumping into a 6.5 %, 7 % mortgage rate now. So that may be part of it. We’ll see here in the next few weeks, because generally in the next few weeks is when we do see a surge in people putting homes on the market, and as well as school gets out, we’ll see more homes coming on the market. We hope, we hope. So we’ll see. Prices. This is what I want to really unwrap here is, prices have continued to get pushed up. I just looked at the March so far data, and looks like we’re going to have a year over year home price increase March versus March, about 5 %, 4.5 %, 5 %.

We’ll see how it shakes out. But home prices have continued to increase and the February to March numbers have increased as well. So at this point, there doesn’t seem to be any relief for home buyers that are looking for lower prices or home prices going down. And we look at this data, which is looking forward, this is what homes are being listed for. You can see this week list price, again, at another all time high. It was at an all time high last week. So median list price is 445,000. And then price for square foot, which is a different way to look at pricing, also, again, all time high, $213 per square foot. Another pricing indicator is the number of homes taking a price reduction. What this is looking at is the total number of homes that are on the market in Albuquerque right now that have reduced price from when they first listed it. We’re at 31 %, which is really pretty much in line with normal. We did see this really bump up back in November and December, but it’s pulled back and we don’t see a lot of urgency for price reductions from sellers.

The other cohort I look at here is median list price of new listings as homes come on the market. How confident are sellers feeling about the market and are they pushing the prices higher? And at this point, yes, they are. They are. Again, I think this one… Let’s look here. Yeah, that is an all time high for the week for median list price of new listings. And just one other little data set I keep an eye on is the number of homes that are relisted. These are homes that came off the market for whatever reason, usually because they were pending and came back on the market. So we’re not seeing a huge number of fall throughs, pretty much right in line with normal. And then just one last thing. If you want to dig deep into this data, I have it on our website right here and you can find it under Market, under… Where am I? Here we go. Real Time Market Conditions. I have every city bookmarked here as well as every zip code in the city and you can see what’s going on in each individual zip code. If you want to look at that data, it’s there.

My take away this week based on what we see this week as well as obviously everything we’ve seen in the past is, mortgage rates are moving in the right direction, or at least they did last week. That’s good for home buyers and the affordability crunch that they are seeing. Home prices are continuing to increase. That’s not good news for home buyers, but there’s no indication anywhere in the data that we see home prices pulling back. We’ll see how that plays out. But right now, based on the list price data that you just saw, home prices are continuing to be pushed higher. Number of homes for sale is still pretty constrained, pretty limited, and we’re not seeing as many homes coming on the market than we’ve seen in years past. If you need any help with your real estate needs, obviously, that’s what we do. I do these reports just because I want to know what’s going on in the market and I watch it every week. I figured, well, let’s do a video and share it with the community. Any questions about real estate, again, it’s Ventury group at Reel Broker, 505 448 8888. Thanks.

Take care.

Albuquerque Housing Market Update for Jan 2023

Albuquerque Housing Market Update for Jan 2023

Albuquerque Housing Market Update for Jan 2023

The home sales in January 2023 are the lowest we’ve seen since 2013. So let’s take a look at the data. Now, let’s not panic because there’s some positive signs out there. The sales are slow, but prices are holding mostly steady. But let’s look at the data.

We’re looking at the data directly from the Albuquerque Multiple Listing Services. It’s all single family, detached and attached homes. In this case, we’re looking at our sold. We’ve also got what’s for sale. We’ll go through that here in a minute.

And that’s the whole Albuquerque area. It’s the four county area. So right now we’re looking at closed sales. And this is the one that really jumps out, is 565 homes, at least at this point. It is the 3 February right now.

There may be a few more that trickle in here in the next few days, but at this point, we’re at 565 closed sales for January of 2023. That is the fewest we have to go back to 2013. I pulled up the ten year chart here so we could actually see it. And yeah, the number of closed sales have jumped down quite a bit. Now, let’s put this in perspective.

Let’s look at pending sales because I can kind of show you what happened here somewhere, right? Really May, June, July is when the interest rates really started to spike up. If you closed in April, May, you’re probably sub 4%. A lot of people were sub 4% or right around 4% at that time. What happened was interest rates really ran out.

It did scare a lot of people out of the market and priced people out of the market as well. And so starting in July, August, September, October, and then November, you can see the pendings decreased. In November in particular, we saw interest rates spike up over 7%, which again, pushed quite a few folks out of the market. However, coming now here in January, we did see an uptick in the number of pending sales, 892 in the Albuquerque area. It’s not an off the chart strong number, but it is a positive sign, a green shoot, if you will, for future activity.

Speaking of future activity, let’s also look at the number of showings per property. Not that one, actually. This one shows per listing. So this is the number, average number of showings that a property on the market gets. It did jump up again in January.

Again, another somewhat positive sign of future activity in our market. So let’s go over to back to the for Sale. We didn’t look at this yet, did we? I looked at it earlier, but yeah, homes for sale. So this is still kind of the big story.

Last year at this time, we were at an all time low number of homes that are actually active for sale on the market in Albuquerque. We are up over that. If we look here, this is the change from the same month last year, we’re up 27% or almost 28% from last year. However, we’re still down if we go back three years pre Pandemic to where is it? There it is.

January 2021, 916 homes on the market. That’s 50% less than that time. And the thing that’s interesting about that, I remember commenting on this at the beginning of 2020, end of 2019, that we were going to have a very strong 2020. And of course, we know what happened changed everything. And we had this less people putting their homes on the market through the pandemic as well as a surge in home buyers, which really drove the number of homes for sale in the market way down all time lows.

Again, we hit that last year and we’ve pulled back. But now it’s starting to do this kind of normal seasonal trend where we see less homes all the way through till the end of February, maybe into March, and then we’ll see an increase again if we follow the normal seasonal trends. All right, pricing. Pricing. Actually, you know what, let’s look at this because this is very telling.

This is number of homes coming on the market. We’re going to look at this a little bit differently. We’re going to look at this as a twelve month rolling. So what that means is, you know, annualized, how many homes are being listed for sale. Part of the reason that we really haven’t seen a, a surge in, in more homes on the market is, is this that just people aren’t listing their homes as much as they used to.

They’re staying in their homes longer. There’s a whole conversation out there in the housing econ world that I follow is a lot of these people are rate locked. If you’ve got a three, three and a half, 4% mortgage and you’re thinking, well, you know, it’s time to sell. Our home is appreciated a lot. But then they start looking and we’ve seen this anecdotally here on the team where people say, hey, I want to sell, then they start looking at what they can buy, what homes cost and what the mortgage rates are.

And they start looking at their actual cost to own. There’s a lot of people that are just kind of locked in and pretty happy. So we’re not seeing as many people turning over and selling their homes as often as we did in the past. I think this is pretty telling of where we are. And I expect this to continue through the year.

So what that means if you’re a home buyer, you got to be out there watching. You got to get with us, get a realtor that can help you. Bird dog. Keep an eye on what’s coming on the market. So you know, when it hits the market, that if it’s the one you’re ready to jump.

So many times we see people finally see the home. They’ve been looking on our website or some websites and they see a home come on the market, that’s the one, that’s the one I finally want. But it’s the first home they look at and ends up there’s ten offers on it and they just aren’t ready because it was the first home they look at. So start thinking about that. You want to get the ball rolling earlier.

And that’s also true for home sellers. So we do have, like I said, low number of homes on the market. Generally, it starts heating up in the spring, especially as soon as school gets out. So if you’re thinking of putting your home on the market, you want to start planning for it now here in February and hit that spring selling season. I think we’re going to have a strong one.

Again, that is what I see in the data and it just does seem to be setting up for that right now. Okay, prices, let’s talk about prices. So last year we’re looking at median price. So this is median sale price. This time last year, I think we’re at 301.

Yeah, 301 was the median sale price in January of last year. This year we’re at 305. So just, you know, like a 1% more. But you can see what happened from January of last year, we had this big run up, this big spike up, and then home prices did settle back in as those higher interest rates kicked in. Now don’t feel bad for these people that bogged back in April and May of last year because they’re probably locked in at a four or maybe even a sub 4% mortgage rate versus the six and six and a half and seven that maybe are in here.

So just put it all in perspective. If we look at price per square foot, which is the one I like better, because it takes out some of the variables. Again, we had this huge run up in the spring last year, peaked out, and we’ve had this pullback anywhere from one to 5%. It depends on how you measure it, but there’s definitely been a pullback, maybe three to 5%, something like that. The question is going to be what’s going to happen with the year over year?

Are we going to bottom out here again and start going up? That’s my expectation. So we’ll have to check back and see how I did. But my expectation is we’re going to bottom out on prices. Here, let me clean up this chart so we can see it better.

Okay, we’re just looking at three years instead of that big long ten year chart chart. So three year chart. You can see again the peak we’ve pulled back. I do expect this to turn and start going back up, meaning I do think home prices are going to pull back up. The question is, are we going to have the same year over year gains?

It’s going to be tough to move from where we are today to get back up to those May numbers, but we’ll see. Sorry. Getting kind of wonky there. I think that’s all I have for now. If you want to know anything about what’s going on in the market, reach out to me.

It’s Tego Venturi with the venturi realty group of Keller Williams realty. I’m at 505-448-8888. Follow us on Facebook and follow us on YouTube. Probably watching this on YouTube, so, yeah, hit subscribe. We appreciate it.

It just kind of helps get the message out. We’re really just trying to educate people on the market and the housing market because there is a lot of misinformation and more than that here. Locally in Albuquerque, we get a lot of national stories about the housing market that doesn’t really apply to us. So I really want to bring this down to the local level so you know what’s going on. Thanks for watching.

Take care.

TIMESTAMPS
00:00 Introduction
00:10 Don’t Panic!
00:29 Closed Sales
01:06 Pending Sales
02:19 Shows Per Listing
02:42 Homes For Sale
04:05 New Listings
05:17 What This Means For Buyers
05:51 What About For Sellers?
06:21 Pricing
07:15 Per Sq. Foot Price
08:15 Follow Us For More Updates and Real Estate Videos!

2023 Starts With a Very Low Level of Homes on the Market in Albuquerque

2023 Starts With a Very Low Level of Homes on the Market in Albuquerque

As we start 2023, the number of homes for sale in the Albuquerque area is at the third-lowest level in over 15 years. The only years this was fewer were 2021 and 2022.

Comparing the past few years.
Year Active Listing % Change vs 2023
2023 1049
2022 587 78.71%
2021 928 13.04%
2020 1791 -41.43%
2019 2423 -56.71%

View complete data and interactive charts HERE