Albuquerque Real Estate Market Update: Sep 2023 – Buyer’s Market on the Horizon?

Albuquerque Real Estate Market Update: Sep 2023 – Buyer’s Market on the Horizon?

A Snapshot of the Albuquerque Housing Market: September 2023

Introduction:
In this post, we will delve into the recent data and trends of the Albuquerque housing market, as highlighted in Tego Venturi’s video. With a focus on key indicators such as market action index, supply and demand, list prices, and more, we will gain insights into the current state of the residential real estate market in Albuquerque, New Mexico.

1. Market Action Index: Buyer’s Market or Seller’s Market?

The market action index is a crucial metric used to determine whether the housing market favors buyers or sellers. As of September 2023, the market in Albuquerque is leaning towards a buyer’s market. Although the market is still technically classified as a seller’s market, we see a move toward a buyer’s market in the past few weeks, indicating a shift toward a more balanced market. However, any number over 30 signifies a seller’s market.

2. Inventory and New Listings:

The number of homes available for purchase in Albuquerque is relatively low, with fewer homes listed throughout the year. Hovering above the 2020 levels, the inventory has surpassed the previous year but remains significantly lower than the 2018 and 2019 levels. This scarcity of homes on the market creates competition among buyers. The lower number of homes being listed contributes to the limited inventory, potentially stifling market growth.

3. Listing Absorbed and Seasonal Factors:

The listing absorbed chart displays the number of homes that have been taken off the market after being listed. Recent weeks have witnessed a decline in this number, which can be attributed to seasonal trends and mortgage rate influences. Towards the end of the year, it is typical for fewer homes to be listed and absorbed. This decrease may also arise from the impact of increased mortgage rates, affecting affordability for potential buyers.

4. Median List Price and Price per Square Foot:

The median list price in Albuquerque has experienced a slight decrease, settling at $415,000 in September 2023. Despite this modest drop from early summer, it is important to note that year-over-year price gains persist. Comparing median prices from the previous three years, the market continues to show upward momentum. Additionally, the price per square foot has remained relatively steady, hovering around $211 in the current year, indicating that there is no significant pressure on prices at this time.

5. Days on Market and Price Reductions:

The average number of days on the market for listed homes remains relatively steady, indicating a market that is more active than the years of 2018 and 2019 but slower compared to the frenzied conditions of 2021 and 2022.

Approximately 40% of homes have undergone price reductions, which aligns with expectations during this time of year. However, this statistic suggests that sellers do not face significant pressure to reduce prices.

6. Number of Homes Relisted:

The number of homes that have been taken off the market and subsequently relisted has decreased to a low level. Only 15% of the homes currently on the market have had a previous contract that fell through. This could indicate that, once listed, properties are more likely to remain on the market until sold, potentially reducing buyer options and contributing to the low inventory levels.

Conclusion:

The Albuquerque housing market, as indicated by recent data, is going through a subtle transition towards a more “balanced” market. While the inventory of homes remains limited, making it a competitive market, both median list prices and price per square foot have remained relatively stable. With fewer homes being listed and absorbed, potential buyers will face limited options. As we continue through September and into the rest of the year, it will be interesting to observe how these trends evolve and whether the market finds a semblance of balance or continues to favor sellers.

If you have any questions concerning the Albuquerque real estate market, contact The Venturi Group of Real Broker at 505-448-8888.

Exploring Albuquerque’s Housing Market: August 2023 – Low Inventory, Strong Pending Sales

Exploring Albuquerque’s Housing Market: August 2023 – Low Inventory, Strong Pending Sales

Exploring the Albuquerque Housing Market Update – August 2023

Introduction:

In the ever-changing landscape of real estate, staying up-to-date with market trends is crucial for buyers, sellers, and even enthusiasts. In this blog post, we will delve into the Albuquerque housing market update for August 2023, as presented by Tego Venturi from the Venturi Group. By analyzing key indicators such as closed sales, pending sales, inventory, pricing, and supply-demand ratios, we aim to provide you with insights into the current state of the market.

Closed Sales and Pending Sales:

The Albuquerque housing market experienced a 14% decrease in closed sales compared to last August. This decline reflects a slowdown in activity, with the number of people moving and buying/selling homes lower than in previous years. However, despite the decrease in closed sales, there was actually a 4% increase in pending sales. This suggests that there is still a significant level of interest and activity in the market, with many potential buyers actively seeking and securing contracts on homes.

Inventory:

One of the prominent factors influencing the Albuquerque housing market is the limited inventory available. At the end of August 2023, there were only 1,260 homes for sale in the entire metro area, marking a 16% decrease from the previous year. This shortage of available homes for sale continues to be a significant challenge in the market. While new construction homes are entering the market, resale homes have taken a hit, and people are not moving as frequently as before.

Pricing:

As demand outweighs supply in the Albuquerque housing market, home prices have experienced steady appreciation. In August 2023, the average price for single-family attached and detached homes was around $421,000, representing an 11% increase from the previous year. Median prices also climbed to a new high, tying with the previous record set in June 2023. Price per square foot provides a better indicator of price trends, with an average of $211 per square foot, showcasing consistent year-over-year growth.

Market Cycles:

Analyzing historical data, the Albuquerque housing market tends to follow seasonal market cycles. Typically, there is a peak in sales during the summer months, followed by a slight decline in fall and winter. This pattern is expected to hold true this year as well, with a potential pullback in prices during the upcoming months. However, it is important to note that while there may be fluctuations, the overall trend has been an upward trajectory in home prices over the past few years.

Supply-Demand Ratio:

To understand the supply-demand dynamics in the market, the supply-demand ratio is a valuable indicator to consider. Currently, the Albuquerque market is operating at a 1.5 month supply, indicating a 7% increase from the previous year. While this increase suggests a slight easing of competition between buyers, the supply remains relatively low compared to previous years. For perspective, in 2018, there was a 3-month supply, and in 2019, a 2.5-month supply.

The August 2023 Albuquerque housing market update presents a mixed picture. While closed sales have decreased, indicating a slowdown in overall market activity, pending sales and increased prices demonstrate continued interest and strong demand among buyers. The scarcity of available homes for sale remains a challenge, driving up prices and contributing to a competitive market. It is important for buyers and sellers to consider these factors and explore their options carefully. Monitoring market updates, seeking professional advice, and conducting thorough research will assist in making informed real estate decisions in Albuquerque.