20 Years of Change: How Albuquerque's Housing Market Evolved from 2004 to 2024
As we step into the new year, it’s a perfect time to take a step back and analyze the Albuquerque housing market with a big-picture perspective. While we usually focus on monthly updates, this year’s annual overview reveals some fascinating trends spanning decades. Let’s dive into the 2024 market data to understand what shaped the year and what it means for buyers, sellers, and industry professionals.
Home Sales: Stability Amidst Change
In 2024, the average monthly home sales in Albuquerque reached 802 units, a modest 0.5% increase from 2023’s 797 units per month. While this stability is encouraging, the number remains significantly below the highs of 2020 and 2021, where monthly sales exceeded 1,200 units. Pending sales also saw a slight uptick, rising 3% year-over-year to 828.
New Listings: Inventory Challenges Persist
The number of new listings in 2024 averaged 1,027 per month, a 7% increase from the historically low levels of 2023. However, this figure still reflects a constrained market, with sellers hesitant to list their homes. The “lock-in effect,” driven by historically low mortgage rates, continues to discourage potential sellers from moving, keeping inventory tight.
Active Listings: A Slight Rebound
The number of active listings saw a 26% increase from 2023, with an average of 1,754 active listings per month.
Despite this improvement, inventory remains below pre-pandemic levels.
For context, in 2019, a more “normal” market, the average monthly active listings were 2,727.
This limited inventory continues to influence market dynamics.
Days on Market: Homes Still Selling Quickly
The median days on market (DOM) for 2024 stood at 15 days, meaning half of the homes sold in less than two weeks. The long-term average for median DOM is 30 days, highlighting how the current market still favors sellers. However, the average DOM increased to 33 days, up from the pandemic lows but still below the 40-day average of 2019.
Months of Supply: A Strong Seller's Market
The months of supply—a key indicator of market balance—remained at 2.2 months in 2024, well below the 4-6 months considered a balanced market.
This tight supply continues to sustain a strong seller’s market, although the level of competition varies by price point and location.
Home Sale Prices: Long-Term Trend
Home prices in Albuquerque continued their long-term upward trend.
Comparing the fourth quarter of 1994 to the fourth quarter of 2024:
- Median price increased from $111,000 to $357,000.
- Average price rose from $127,000 to $409,000.
- 220% growth over 30 years.
- The average annual growth rate over the past three decades was 3.95%, demonstrating consistent long-term appreciation.
List-to-Sell Ratios; Modest Discounts in 2024
Total Dollar Volume: A Strong Showing
What It All Means
- Inventory remains tight, driven by the lock-in effect, low seller activity, and a moderate number of newly built homes on the market. There is no indication of a large amount of homes coming to the market for 2025.
- Prices continue to rise, reflecting consistent long-term appreciation. 2024 was moderate compared to 2020, 2021, & 2022, but it appears (once all the final data is in) it will be greater than the long-term average.
- The market remains competitive, especially for well-priced homes in desirable areas.
The Long-Term Albuquerque Real Estate Market is reinforcing its reputation for consistent price growth. Though the region has gone through some fluctuations that have affected the national housing scene, it has generally steered clear of the dramatic shifts observed in other markets.
The combination of tight inventory, moderate new construction, and long-term demand has sustained a resilient housing environment. Even in the face of broader economic uncertainty, Albuquerque’s consistent growth and stable market conditions offer confidence to buyers, sellers, and real estate professionals alike.